In Pursuit of Foresight

Inquiry reports blame management for failures of foresight based on the premise that, with a little more thought, these oversights should have been avoided. Is it really that simple? The important question is whether, without hindsight, it is possible to identify the factors that lead to the failure. The book is based around Barry Turner’s Disaster Incubation Theory. It explores the way Turner structured his theory and the way it has been used, before re-imagining it to foster foresight. It examines why Turner's model was chosen, it outlines the issues that need to be considered and how to use the proposed frameworks. Finally, it examines the lessons learnt and provides a worked example. This book provides executives with tools to help them avoid their next crisis._x005F_x000D_